Is Microsoft Vista Dead?

January 16th, 2009 | Tags: ,

It is according to a recent article entitled CNN – is Microsoft Vista dead?

But that makes the assumption that just because Microsoft is replacing Vista, Vista is dead/abandoned and, because it is being replaced, it is an inferior product. Or maybe they are thinking that because Vista is so new and is already being replaced that it is clearly dead and being abandoned by Microsoft. Let’s take a closer look at that aspect.

Early estimates have Microsoft releasing Windows 7 as early as August 2009 or as late as 2011. Windows Vista was released in January 2007 and so it is currently 2 years old, but will be almost 3 or more when Windows 7 arrives. That pales in comparison to Windows XP which was released in October 2001 and lasted a little over 5 years before being replaced. Before that Windows Me came out in September 2000 and lasted only a year. It replaced Windows 98 which came out in June 1998 and lasted 2 years. Windows 95 came out in August 1995 and lasted 3 years.

Operating System Release Date Years before replacement
Windows 7 approx. January 2010 n/a
Windows Vista January 2007 approx. 3 years
Windows XP October 2001 5 years
Windows Me September 2000 1 year
Windows 98 June 1998 2 years
Windows 95 August 1995 3 years

According to my calculations, the average Windows consumer operating system is replaced in 3 years which is about how long Vista will last before it is replaced. Note also that if Vista is not replaced before November 2009 it will have lasted the second longest before its successor was released. The only thing abnormal here is Windows XP’s longevity probably caused by the focus on Windows XP SP2.

Is Microsoft abandoning Vista? No, they’re just moving on as they always have.

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